Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.024394 0.026866 0.029323 0.031942 0.034649 0.037360 0.040276
2025-01-26 0.020151 0.024145 0.028236 0.032711 0.037444 0.042278 0.047569
2025-02-02 0.016787 0.021737 0.026943 0.032758 0.039015 0.045498 0.052680
2025-02-09 0.013622 0.019155 0.025133 0.031945 0.039390 0.047197 0.055932
2025-02-16 0.011731 0.017768 0.024447 0.032181 0.040734 0.049786 0.059986
2025-02-23 0.009954 0.016340 0.023577 0.032091 0.041614 0.051775 0.063299
2025-03-02 0.008314 0.014923 0.022611 0.031797 0.042184 0.053351 0.066090
2025-03-09 0.006976 0.013754 0.021846 0.031659 0.042862 0.054989 0.068892
2025-03-16 0.005511 0.012285 0.020635 0.030936 0.042825 0.055787 0.070728
2025-03-23 0.004616 0.011477 0.020165 0.031029 0.043669 0.057525 0.073557
2025-03-30 0.003607 0.010398 0.019299 0.030607 0.043887 0.058532 0.075550
2025-04-06 0.002622 0.009217 0.018237 0.029901 0.043740 0.059098 0.077024
2025-04-13 0.001439 0.007557 0.016572 0.028557 0.042988 0.059149 0.078127
2025-04-20 0.001042 0.007179 0.016615 0.029337 0.044764 0.062113 0.082544
2025-04-27 0.000556 0.006432 0.016098 0.029388 0.045660 0.064061 0.085811
2025-05-04 0.000108 0.005319 0.014968 0.028611 0.045531 0.064806 0.087698
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004799 0.014650 0.028836 0.046575 0.066871 0.091047
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004178 0.014117 0.028751 0.047219 0.068455 0.093830
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003525 0.013463 0.028469 0.047598 0.069712 0.096223
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002993 0.012944 0.028337 0.048137 0.071135 0.098786
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002298 0.012043 0.027645 0.047962 0.071704 0.100356
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001952 0.011726 0.027734 0.048735 0.073368 0.103163
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001481 0.011079 0.027331 0.048876 0.074274 0.105087